Indo-China border dispute: Is India’s ‘self-reliance’ policy realistic?

Kashvi Singh

The recent clash between China and India has failed to surprise the world, after all the two countries have long standing history of border disputes despite their healthy trade relations acting as a barrier against this. Be it China’s claims over the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh, scuffles over regions of the Himalayas, Ladakh and Sikkim, or China’s support of Pakistan over the Kashmir issue, problems between the two nations seem to be never-ending.

This time, on the 15th of June, border clashes between the troops in the Ladakh region led to high casualties for both China and India; and like the aftermath of every border clash between the two nations, what ensued was an aggressive campaign to boycott Chinese products in India in an attempt to use “wallet power” against China, with people seen publicly destroying items such as smartphones and televisions that were imported from China. The Indian government and businesses have responded to this campaign by taking several steps to reduce India’s dependency on China. For instance, the government issued directives to cancel or limit Chinese contracts with public sector companies, leading to the Indian Railways cancelling a contract with a Chinese firm, while Mumbai cancelled a monorail contract where the only bidders were Chinese companies, and alternatively said it would focus on finding an Indian technological partner instead. There are also calls for making sure the Chinese do not have access to strategic markets in India. In retaliation to this, customs in China and Hong Kong have held up Indian exports.

However, the most striking move by the Indian government was the ban on 59 Chinese apps such as TikTok, Weibo and WeChat, claiming that these platforms posed a threat to the "sovereignty and integrity of India, defence of India, security of state and public order." At the same time, Indian companies have begun submitting proposals to the government on ways to reduce import dependence on China, suggesting measures such as Covid-19 import duties on non-essential items along with a reduction of customs duty on plant and machinery from other countries.

While many in India have supported the government’s decision, some economists have warned that policies of self-reliance and protectionism would be “precisely the wrong way to tackle the long-term threat of a rising China”, mainly because- while reducing trade with China would hit Chinese companies badly, which would add pressure on China to stop military infiltration and to drop claims on Indian territory, doing so very suddenly, is more likely to hit the Indian economy harder than China. This is because, India does not only rely on China for its digital and pharmaceutical imports, India’s economy is also highly dependent on Chinese firms that create employment in the country. In fact, 18 of India’s top 30 successful start-ups, such as Paytm, Ola and Flipkart, are Chinese owned and funded. In 2019, India imported $85 Billion worth of goods from China, making this a highly profitable source of income for the Indian government, due to which, the Prime Minister’s recent initiatives to reduce India’s dependency on China have been said to be only short-term and in order to please the angry Indian public, leading to several accusations of the government being ‘unclear’ in its policy towards China.

At the same time, many economists have also warned the Indian government over the country’s dependence on China for electronics and drug ingredients, which poses a risk to Indian industries if for example, Beijing decides to limit exports of these pharmaceutical inputs over diplomatic tensions. The implications of this threat become even more alarming considering how the current government’s initiatives to boost manufacturing and exports in India have failed almost entirely. Nonetheless, if there is one thing we can make of this episode, it is the fact that the Indian public seems to have joined the United States, South Korea and Japan with their anger and hatred towards China’s recent behaviour, therefore increasing the likelihood of the global economic isolation of China in future.

 Sources:

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-inc-advising-on-import-substitution/articleshow/76760133.cms

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_China%E2%80%93India_skirmishes

https://www.jagranjosh.com/general-knowledge/list-of-chinese-funded-companies-in-india-1500032596-

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/06/29/trade-war-china-bad-idea-india-border-skirmish-boycott/

Comments